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From Dance Floors to Trading Floors: The Rhythmic Riches of Nicolas Darvas

By WOM

August 29, 2023

SUMMARY

  • Dancing Dual Life: Nicolas Darvas, the 1950s dance sensation, discreetly transformed $36,000 into a whopping $2.25 million in the stock market within three years.
  • Innovative Insights: With a unique blend of techno-fundamental investing, Darvas championed emerging industries, foreseeing the massive potential of electronics and rocketry in the 1950s.
  • Darvas Box Method: Harnessing the power of volume anomalies and strategic stock patterns, his technique, still relevant today, underlines the importance of adaptability in trading.

Nicolas Darvas, renowned for his foot-tapping dance routines, was making audiences swoon worldwide. Yet, behind the scenes, his eyes were trained on the pages of Barron's, the weekly finance newspaper, and not dance steps. Unbeknownst to many, as he waltzed and tangoed, Darvas was simultaneously orchestrating a financial ballet of his own. Starting with a mere $36,000, he danced his way to over $2.25 million within three years, courtesy of his dabbling in stocks.

His secret? The "Darvas Box" method, which he generously penned down in his 1960 masterpiece, "How I Made $2 Million in the Stock Market."

Nicolas Darvas' journey from the Nazi-threatened terrains of Hungary to the bustling trading floors of Wall Street is nothing short of cinematic. After fleeing the ravages of war, he reunited with his sister, rekindling their shared passion for dance. But the spotlight wasn't his only muse. The world of stocks beckoned, and Darvas heeded the call. Beginning his financial adventure in the volatile Canadian stock markets, he reaped an impressive 200% profit on his first endeavor. But fortunes are fickle; what the Canadian market gave, it soon took away, nudging him towards the famed New York Stock Exchange.

The stock playground of the 1950s wasn't a walk in the park. With high commissions, the dominant strategy was to invest in dividend-paying stalwarts. But Darvas wasn't one to follow the crowd. Eschewing dividends, he focused on stop-loss points and targeted industries he believed had a promising future. The 1950s were abuzz with innovations in electronics and rocket science, sectors Darvas foresaw as the next big thing. Drawing from historical trends, he knew the importance of backing industries poised for exponential growth.

The crux of his strategy revolved around what's now known as the Darvas Box method. He curated a list of stocks from promising industries, with a bias towards those with higher prices, given the commission dynamics of his time. His main beacon was volume. Anomalies in trading volumes hinted at potential stock movements. Spotting these anomalies, he'd instruct his broker, setting his purchase range and, crucially, his stop-loss points. His experience taught him that stocks often formed patterns, akin to a series of boxes stacked on one another. As a stock climbed, he'd adjust his strategies, always keeping a watchful eye.

Darvas' dalliance with Lorillard Tobacco Co. serves as an illustrative example of his acumen. While performing in Vietnam, a surge in Lorillard's volume caught his eye. Investigating further, he found their booming cigarette sales, making a series of purchases as the stock danced out of and back into its box range. His strategic buy and sell moves with Lorillard garnered him a 60% profit in just six months, outshining the Dow Jones' modest 7.5% gain. Today, with the digital era replacing telegrams and Barron's with real-time updates, Darvas' legacy and methods, though slightly modified, can still yield bountiful harvests for the diligent trader.


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